Red-Eyes Deck #773144 — Yu-Gi-Oh! OCG

Deck — Deck Power Evaluation

Final Contextual Deck Power: 30/100 (±8 · Confidence: Low)

• Primary strategy: Midrange
• Secondary strategies: Stun, Toolbox
• Format: ocg

Legality

Main 56 / Extra 15 / Side 0 — status under the rules at evaluation time: Illegal. 3 violation(s).

Identity & game plan

• Win condition: Kashtira Shangri-Ira and other Level 7 Xyz/Synchro/Link boss monsters attacking through a board cleared by hand traps and Lightning Storm / Harpie's Feather Duster; Dark Armed, Red-Eyes Flare Metal Dragon, Swordsoul Supreme Sovereign and Sangenpai Transcendent Dragion as extra-deck closers
• Turn 1 (going first): Open on a Kashtira hand starter (Riseheart, Unicorn, Fenrir or Ogre) when no monsters are on board, then use the Main Phase search effects (Kashtiratheosis, Ogre trap/spell search, Wraitsoth) to set up Shangri-Ira or a Kashtira boss. Expect hand-starter access to be the constraint.
• Turn 2 (going second): Hold Ash Blossom, Ghost Ogre & Snow Rabbit, Droll & Lock Bird, Infinite Impermanence, Solemn Judgment or Solemn Warning for the opponent's first summon or activation, then rebuild a Kashtira board from the GY/banish zone with Kashtira Birth and Preparations.
• Recovery: Recover through Pot of Sloth / Pot of Prosperity draws, Mulcharmy draw effects and Kashtira Preparations / Birth recursion from banish or GY.
• After siding: Not evaluable: side deck is empty (0 cards), so there is no best-of-3 adjustment.

Why it scores here

The list is illegal in OCG: three Kashtira Fenrir (Forbidden, 0 legal), three Kashtira Unicorn (Limited, 1 legal) and three Ash Blossom (Semi-Limited, 2 legal) exceed their limits, so the score is capped at 30 and the evaluation is structural-only. Structurally, the deck has real strengths: 10 hand-trap copies give about 0.71 chance of at least one hand trap in a 6-card going-second hand, and it carries strong closers (Shangri-Ira, Ogre, Dracossack, Chengying, Utopic Draco Future). The Kashtira starter package is the constraint: as listed, P(at least one hand starter in a 5-card opening) is about 0.64, but with legal copies only it falls to about 0.38. Brick risk is high, with 32 of 56 main cards being Spells or Traps and only 26 distinct main-deck cards, and the Red-Eyes label does not match the list (exact-name purity 1.4%; Kashtira is the dominant sub-archetype). Combo, meta and tournament data are absent, so no combo ceiling or floor is scored beyond text-based inference, and the score was not built by averaging card scores.

Dimension scores

How the score was computed

Strategy profile: Midrange (D13 dropped and renormalized to 95 for the meta-neutral score). Structural ≈ 53, Going First ≈ 52, Going Second ≈ 58, Meta = provisional, Tournament Reliability ≈ 35. Modifiers: banlist exposure (-10); engine conflicts (-2). Final formula: Meta-neutral: 0.80*Structural(53) + 0.20*TournamentReliability(35) = 49.4; modifiers -12 gives 37.4; illegal-list cap applied, final 30 (theoretical/structural-only)

Probability & combo summary

• Opening a starter: P(≥1) ≈ 0.64 · key two-card combo ≈ — · full-brick estimate ≈ — (all Inferred)
• Combo output: best PowerIndex —, median —, board-per-starter —
• Turn order: 0 going-first lines vs 0 going-second lines

Strengths

• Ten hand-trap copies give roughly 0.71 chance of a hand trap on going second
• Strong Level 7-12 Xyz/Synchro closers with 2800-3000 ATK/DEF
• Two sources of card flow: Pot of Sloth / Prosperity and Mulcharmy, plus Kashtira search effects
• Layered interaction: negations (Ash Blossom, Solemn Judgment, Solemn Warning, Infinite Impermanence), Ghost Ogre, Droll & Lock Bird, Lightning Storm

Weaknesses

• Illegal in OCG: Kashtira Fenrir x3 (Forbidden) and Kashtira Unicorn x3 and Ash Blossom x3 exceed limits
• Starter access depends on Kashtira hand starters that are largely illegal or limited in this list
• High brick risk: 32 non-monster cards in 56 Main, 26 distinct cards
• Archetype label (Red-Eyes) does not match the list (1.4% exact-name purity)
• Side deck empty, so no post-side plan

Critical choke points

• Kashtira hand starters: about 0.38 chance of one in a legal 5-card opening, versus 0.64 as listed
• Shangri-Ira is the only Xyz engine (2 copies) that converts Kashtira boards into a closer

Recommended changes

Evidence & confidence

• Verified: Main 56 / Extra 15 / Side 0; main within 40-60 and extra within 0-15; Kashtira Fenrir Forbidden with 0 legal copies; Kashtira Unicorn Limited (1); Ash Blossom Semi-Limited (2); Archetype spread: Kashtira 20, exact Red-Eyes 1 (purity 1.4%); Side deck is empty (0 cards)
• Inferred: P(at least one hand starter in 5) 0.64 as listed, 0.38 on legal copies only; Brick risk from 32 Spell/Trap cards and 26 distinct main cards; Interaction and card-flow strength from text and role tags; Shangri-Ira and boss closers as the win condition
• Provisional: Meta and matchup fit (no dated meta sample); Tournament reliability
• Data gaps: No combos supplied, so combo floor, median and ceiling are text-only inference No tournament link, so archetype meta-share and per-pilot match record are absent No win-rate telemetry (going-first/second, matchup, brick/starter rates) exists in YGOVN Meta Power is Provisional unless a dated metagame sample is supplied Side deck is empty, so post-side scoring is not possible Deck title is null; archetype label conflicts with the card list