Penguin Deck #772067 — Yu-Gi-Oh! OCG

Deck — Deck Power Evaluation

Final Contextual Deck Power: 35/100 (±10 · Confidence: Low)

• Primary strategy: Midrange
• Secondary strategies: Toolbox, Stun
• Format: ocg

Legality

Main 55 / Extra 15 / Side 0 — status under the rules at evaluation time: Illegal. 2 violation(s).

Identity & game plan

• Win condition: K9 and Number Xyz boards (K9-X Werewolf, K9-X Ripper/M, Number C104 Umbral Horror Masquerade) and Penguin Synchro/Xyz pressure, backed by hand-trap interaction; Adamancipator Risen - Dragite and Penguin Brave synchro pressure
• Turn 1 (going first): Open a Penguin or K9 starter (First Penguin, Penguin Squire, K9-66b Lantern) and use searchers (Royal Penguins Garden, A Case for K9) to reach a Level 5 Xyz or Synchro board; hold Infinite Impermanence or Typhoon for the first answer
• Turn 2 (going second): Hold Droll & Lock Bird, Ash Blossom and Ghost Ogre & Snow Rabbit against the opponent's first search or summon, then convert the surviving hand into a K9 Xyz board
• Recovery: Recover through Nopenguin from the GY, Ripper's search, Chaotic Elements' searches, and Coral Dragon-style card draw; re-establish a Level 5 board with the Extra Deck Xyz routes
• After siding: Not applicable as scored: the list has zero Side Deck cards, so there is no post-side plan in the evidence

Why it scores here

The list reliably gets a Level 5 Xyz or Synchro board going through the archetype core, which is in roughly 78% of opening 5-card hands by the hypergeometric estimate (Inferred), but it has no recorded boards, so the ceiling and median cannot be measured. Its interaction is the strongest part of the system: 13 hand traps plus Solemn, Typhoon and Forbidden Droplet give layered answers to a going-second opponent, and that interaction is what earns the points for resilience and end-board quality. The closing power comes from 3000–3300 ATK Xyz and Synchro bosses, some with piercing or multi-attack text. The score is held down by two competing engines (Penguin and K9 share the deck with a 22.9% exact-name purity), a main deck spread across 26 distinct cards with many 1-of tech slots, and no Side Deck. The deck is illegal as built, since Ash Blossom and K9-17 Izuna are each run three times against a limit of two, so the score is a structural, theoretical read and not a contextual deck power. Popularity and archetype usage did not earn points, and no card scores were averaged into the deck score.

Dimension scores

How the score was computed

Strategy profile: Midrange primary with Toolbox secondary (structural weights taken from Midrange profile). Structural ≈ 49, Going First ≈ 44, Going Second ≈ 50, Meta = provisional, Tournament Reliability ≈ 40. Modifiers: Engine conflict (Penguin vs K9) (-6); Illegal copy-limit cap (-6). Final formula: No reliable metagame: 0.80*Structural + 0.20*TournamentReliability + ContextModifiers = 0.80*49 + 0.20*40 - 12 = 35.2 → 35 (Illegal cap applied; theoretical structural-only read)

Probability & combo summary

• Opening a starter: P(≥1) ≈ 0.25 · key two-card combo ≈ — · full-brick estimate ≈ — (all Inferred)
• Combo output: best PowerIndex —, median —, board-per-starter —
• Turn order: 0 going-first lines vs 0 going-second lines

Strengths

• Layered hand-trap interaction: 13 hand traps plus Solemn, Typhoon and Forbidden Droplet
• Strong Xyz and Synchro end-board bosses (3000–3300 ATK) with piercing or multi-attack text
• Searcher density (14 searcher-text cards) gives recovery and consistent access to the core engine
• Archetype core present at a high probability in the opening hand (≈0.78)

Weaknesses

• Illegal as built: Ash Blossom & Joyous Spring and K9-17 Izuna exceed their Semi-Limited copy limit
• Two competing engines (Penguin and K9) with only 22.9% exact-name purity
• 26 distinct Main Deck cards, many 1-of tech slots, which lowers consistency
• Zero Side Deck, so no post-side adaptability
• No recorded combo boards, so the floor and median output are unmeasured

Critical choke points

• Only three copies of Ash Blossom and Izuna are over the limit, so the deck must drop copies before any contextual score is meaningful
• Starter access for any single Penguin or K9 starter is about 25% in the opening 5

Recommended changes

Evidence & confidence

• Verified: Illegal status: Ash Blossom & Joyous Spring and K9-17 Izuna each run 3 copies against a limit of 2; Main Deck 55 and Extra Deck 15 are within OCG size rules; Side Deck 0 is within range; Composition: 26 distinct Main Deck cards, 22.9% exact-archetype purity, 13 hand traps, 14 searchers; Card stats: K9-X Werewolf 3300 ATK, K9-X Ripper/M 3100 ATK, Dragite 3000 ATK
• Inferred: Starter access ≈ 0.25 per 3-copy card in the opening 5; archetype core ≈ 0.78; Interaction and resilience estimated from card text; Going-second strength driven by hand-trap density
• Provisional: Meta and format fit (D13) and Meta Power; Tournament reliability with no dated results
• Data gaps: No combos supplied: floor, median and ceiling are text-only inference No tournament link: archetype meta-share and per-pilot record absent No win-rate telemetry: going-first/second and matchup results unknown No Side Deck: post-side plan cannot be evaluated Meta Power is provisional without a dated metagame sample