Familiar-Possessed Deck #768782 — Yu-Gi-Oh! OCG

Deck — Deck Power Evaluation

Final Contextual Deck Power: 30/100 (±8 · Confidence: Low)

• Primary strategy: Midrange
• Secondary strategies: Stun
• Format: ocg

Legality

Main 56 / Extra 15 / Side 0 — status: Illegal. 1 violation(s).

Identity & game plan

• Win condition: Fire King board-clearing and recursion (Garunix / Garunix Eternity, 3000 ATK boss) after the opponent's board is removed (Inferred from card text); Link and XYZ closers (Salamangreat Raging Phoenix, Number 38, Super Starslayer TY-PHON) once material is in place (Inferred from card text)
• Turn 1 (going first): Open a FIRE starter (Fire King Avatar Kirin, Courtier Ulcanix, Legendary Fire King Ponix) and search or summon into a Fire King Island / Sanctuary line; Raigeki and Lightning Storm handle a board (Inferred)
• Turn 2 (going second): Hold hand traps (Ash Blossom, Effect Veiler, Infinite Impermanence, Droll & Lock Bird, Nibiru) to answer the opponent's first summon, then recover a Fire King monster from GY or hand (Inferred)
• Recovery: Fire King monsters special summon from GY or hand when a FIRE monster is destroyed (Avatar Garunix, Avatar Yaksha, Sacred Fire King Garunix), so the deck rebuilds from the GY (Inferred from card text)
• After siding: Not evaluable: the deck runs 0 side-deck cards, so there is no post-side plan

Why it scores here

This score was not built from the average of the card scores or from the deck's popularity. The deck opens FIRE starters with a 3-copy engine, but each 3-copy starter has only about a 25% chance of appearing in a 5-card opening hand, so consistency is moderate. Its strength is the system: 13 hand traps and 17 negation-text cards give it strong interaction and going-second answers, and Fire King recursion lets it rebuild after a board is destroyed. There are no recorded boards, no tournament link, no win-rate data and no side deck, so median output, matchup fit and post-side play are scored as Inferred or Provisional and kept near neutral. The list is Illegal because Ash Blossom & Joyous Spring is run 3 times against a limit of 2, so the theoretical structural score of about 58 is capped to 30.

Dimension scores

How the score was computed

Strategy profile: Midrange. Structural ≈ 58, Going First ≈ 55, Going Second ≈ 68, Meta = provisional, Tournament Reliability ≈ 48. Modifiers: banlist_exposure (-6); no_side_deck (-4). Final formula: No reliable metagame: 0.80*Structural(58) + 0.20*TournamentReliability(48) = 56, plus modifiers (-10) = 46; Illegal cap applied, so score = 30 (theoretical/structural-only)

Probability & combo summary

• Opening a starter: P(≥1) ≈ 0.25 · key two-card combo ≈ — · full-brick estimate ≈ — (all Inferred)
• Combo output: best PowerIndex —, median —, board-per-starter —
• Turn order: 0 going-first lines vs 0 going-second lines

Strengths

• Dense hand-trap and negation package (13 hand traps, 17 negation-text cards) gives strong going-second answers
• Fire King recursion (Avatar Garunix, Avatar Yaksha, Sacred Fire King Garunix) rebuilds the board after disruption
• Board-clearing options (Raigeki, Lightning Storm, Garunix Eternity) and 3000 ATK closers

Weaknesses

• Illegal list: Ash Blossom & Joyous Spring is run 3 copies against a limit of 2
• Only a 25% chance per 3-copy starter in a 5-card hand, with a 3-card-or-less starter pool for going first
• No side deck, so no post-side adaptation
• Archetype is labelled Familiar-Possessed but 0 exact-name copies; the engine is Fire King with Charmer and Salamangreat splashes

Critical choke points

• A FIRE starter in the opening hand (about 25% per 3-copy card)
• Ash Blossom & Joyous Spring copy limit: the deck is illegal until one copy is removed

Recommended changes

Evidence & confidence

• Verified: Main 56 / Extra 15 / Side 0 size within OCG limits; Ash Blossom & Joyous Spring: 3 copies vs legal 2 (violation); Droll & Lock Bird and One for One: 1 copy each, within Limited; Composition and card text as listed
• Observed: Usage stats: Ash Blossom and Droll & Lock Bird are core cards in this archetype (77.8%)
• Inferred: Starter consistency from hypergeometric odds; Combo plans and recovery lines from card text; Interaction and going-second strength from hand-trap and negation text
• Provisional: Meta Power (no dated metagame sample); Matchup and format fit (dimension 13)
• Data gaps: no combos supplied: combo floor, median and ceiling are text-only inference no tournament link: archetype meta-share and per-pilot match record absent no win-rate telemetry (going-first/second, matchup, brick/starter rates) no side deck: post-side plan not evaluable Meta Power is Provisional unless a dated metagame sample is supplied