Ashened Deck #758405 — Yu-Gi-Oh! OCG

Deck — Deck Power Evaluation

Final Contextual Deck Power: 25/100 (±8 · Confidence: Low)

• Primary strategy: Midrange
• Secondary strategies: Combo
• Format: ocg

Legality

Main 56 / Extra 15 / Side 0 — status under the rules at evaluation time: Illegal. 1 violation(s).

Identity & game plan

• Win condition: Ashened Fusion/Xyz boss pressure: Veidos the Eruption Dragon of Extinction (2800 ATK) and Veidos the Dragon of Endless Darkness (3000 ATK) once Obsidim-based summons are online; Dark Hole Dragon (3000 ATK) and Queen of the Blazing Domain (3000 ATK) as board-breaking follow-ups
• Turn 1 (going first): Place Obsidim, the Ashened City (2 copies) from the Deck via Awakening of Veidos or Inferno of the Ashened, then Special Summon Ashened monsters from hand; without Obsidim, the summon routes are offline
• Turn 2 (going second): Interact on the opponent's board with Dark Hole, Torrential Tribute, Compulsory Evacuation Device and Dark Hole Dragon, then rebuild through Ashened searchers; the deck has no side deck, so no post-board line exists
• Recovery: Searchers (Awakening of Veidos, Chaotic Elements, Priestess, Shaman, Extinguishing the Ashened) and Ashened Fusion routes from the Extra Deck to recover after a single disruption
• After siding: None: side_count is 0, so there is no post-side plan; this is a structural limit (Inferred)

Why it scores here

This list is Illegal as built: Number 60: Dugares the Timeless is Forbidden in OCG and runs one copy, so the Final Contextual score is capped low and the rest of the analysis is theoretical and structural only. Structurally, the engine is searcher-dense (about 89% at least one searcher-text card in a 5-card opener, Inferred) but its key field spell Obsidim is a 2-copy card that appears in only about 17% of going-first openers (hypergeometric, Inferred), so the summon routes are often offline. Interaction is broad (Dark Hole, Torrential Tribute, Dark Ruler No More, Dark Hole Dragon, Compulsory Evacuation Device) and the boss ceiling is high, but no combos, guides, or tournament records exist, so floor, median and ceiling are unmeasured. The deck has no side deck, which pulls down adaptability and the going-second plan. The score was derived from the system (consistency, interaction, closing power, and structural limits), not from averaging the individual card scores, and archetype popularity did not add points.

Dimension scores

How the score was computed

Strategy profile: Midrange. Structural ≈ 51, Going First ≈ 50, Going Second ≈ 45, Meta = provisional, Tournament Reliability ≈ 45. Modifiers: banlist exposure (-12); illegal cap (-12). Final formula: Structural = 50.55 (Midrange weights). No reliable metagame: 0.80*50.55 + 0.20*45 = 49.4, plus banlist modifier -12 = 37.4. Illegal deck: capped to 25 as theoretical only.

Probability & combo summary

• Opening a starter: P(≥1) ≈ 0.17 · key two-card combo ≈ — · full-brick estimate ≈ — (all Inferred)
• Combo output: best PowerIndex —, median —, board-per-starter —
• Turn order: 0 going-first lines vs 0 going-second lines

Strengths

• Dense searcher text (19 cards) gives high access to Ashened pieces
• Layered interaction: Dark Hole, Torrential Tribute, Dark Ruler No More, Dark Hole Dragon
• High-ATK Fusion/Xyz bosses (Veidos 2800, Dark Hole Dragon 3000, Queen 3000)

Weaknesses

• Illegal as built: Forbidden Number 60 is run
• Obsidim engine is only 2 copies, while usage stats show 3 typical (Verified)
• Core Ashened Fusion boss Embers of the Ashened (typical 2 copies, 100% inclusion) is absent (Verified)
• Mudragon of the Swamp (100% inclusion) is absent (Verified)
• No side deck, so no post-side plan
• Archetype purity 25.4%, with Hole, Utopia, Gusto, Lswarm, Predaplant, Venom and Volcanic fragments that compete for the same Extra Deck slots

Critical choke points

• Obsidim, the Ashened City being in the Field Zone, which gates all Ashened Special Summons
• Awakening of Veidos / Inferno of the Ashened as the only Obsidim placement routes

Recommended changes

Evidence & confidence

• Verified: Number 60 is Forbidden and run 1 copy (illegal); Main 56 and Extra 15 are within size rules; Super Polymerization (Semi-Limited, 2 copies) and Daigusto Emeral (Limited, 1 copy) are within legal limits; Embers of the Ashened and Mudragon of the Swamp are 100% inclusion in usage stats and absent from the deck; side_count is 0
• Inferred: Obsidim opener access ~17%; searcher-text access ~89% (hypergeometric); Interaction density and removal breadth from card text; Engine conflict across Ashened and sub-archetype fragments
• Provisional: Meta Power (no dated metagame sample); Matchup and format fit (D13)
• Data gaps: no combos supplied: floor, median and ceiling are text-only inference no tournament link: archetype meta-share and per-pilot record absent no win-rate telemetry for this deck no side deck, so no post-side evidence Meta Power is Provisional unless a dated metagame sample is supplied