Tenpai Dragon Deck #774372 — Yu-Gi-Oh! Master Duel

Deck — Deck Power Evaluation

Final Contextual Deck Power: 49/100 (±7 · Confidence: Medium)

• Primary strategy: Toolbox
• Secondary strategies: Midrange, Synchro, Link, Xyz
• Format: master-duel

Legality

Main 40 / Extra 14 / Side 0 — status: Legal.

Identity & game plan

• Win condition: Synchro Summon of a FIRE Dragon boss from the Extra Deck (Ruddy Rose Dragon, Sangenpai Transcendent Dragion, Trident Dragion, Bident Dragion) after Tenpai/Sangen bodies are on board; Link and Xyz bosses (Promethean Princess, Super Starslayer TY-PHON) as follow-up pressure
• Turn 1 (going first): Normal Summon Tenpai Dragon Paidra or Genroku to search Sangen, hold hand traps for the opponent's first summon, then Synchro into a FIRE Dragon boss (Inferred, no recorded boards)
• Turn 2 (going second): Hold hand traps (Ash Blossom, Ghost Ogre, Infinite Impermanence, Maxx C, Dominus Impulse, Red Reboot) to break the opponent's first board, then rebuild with Mulcharmy draws and Synchro (Inferred)
• Recovery: Mulcharmy draw bodies and Pot of Sloth refill the hand; Tenpai Genroku and Fadra recur FIRE Dragons from the GY (Inferred)
• After siding: None: side deck is 0 cards and Master Duel has no post-side games, so no post-side plan is credited

Why it scores here

The deck reliably opens a functional hand because its archetype core of 24 copies gives about a 0.99 chance of at least one core card in a 5-card opening hand, though the Tenpai-specific starter set is only 7 exact-name copies. Its strongest system feature is interaction: 10 hand traps plus Red Reboot and about 12 removal or negation texts give it strong going-second coverage and layered end-board answers. Conversion is the weak point, since no recorded boards exist, so the ceiling and median are text-based inferences and the median is scored well below the ceiling. Resilience and recovery are moderate: Mulcharmy draws, Pot of Sloth, and FIRE Dragon recursion give more than one route after disruption, but the mix of Mulcharmy, Sangen, Greed, and Dominus pieces creates engine conflicts. Popularity did not earn points: the 40% usage-stat overlap and the archetype's recognition were not credited, and card scores were not averaged into the deck score.

Dimension scores

How the score was computed

Strategy profile: Toolbox, meta-neutral: D13 dropped and weights re-normalized over 95. Structural ≈ 57, Going First ≈ 60, Going Second ≈ 58, Meta = provisional, Tournament Reliability ≈ 52. Modifiers: banlist exposure (-3); engine conflicts and thin core (-3); single-copy searcher choke point (-1). Final formula: 0.80*Structural + 0.20*TournamentReliability + ContextModifiers (Meta provisional; Structural = 57.3 after D13 is dropped and weights re-normalized)

Probability & combo summary

• Opening a starter: P(≥1) ≈ 0.64 · key two-card combo ≈ — · full-brick estimate ≈ — (all Inferred)
• Combo output: best PowerIndex —, median —, board-per-starter —
• Turn order: 0 going-first lines vs 0 going-second lines

Strengths

• Hand-trap density (10 hand traps plus Red Reboot) gives strong going-second interaction
• Archetype core of 24 copies is almost always accessible in the opening hand (0.9934)
• Extra Deck covers all three summon types with 10 Synchro, 3 Link, and 1 Xyz boss options

Weaknesses

• Tenpai identity is thin: 7 exact-name copies (13% purity) across Mulcharmy, Sangen, Greed, Dominus, Forbidden, Harpie and other sub-archetypes
• Engine conflicts: Mulcharmy draws need an empty field, and self-destructive Heavy Storm, Harpie, and Lightning Storm hit own Sangen spells
• No side deck and no combo evidence, so post-side and ceiling claims cannot be verified
• Most of the Tenpai searchers are Limited single copies

Critical choke points

• Sangen Summoning and Sangen Kaimen (one copy each, Limited) are the main Tenpai search routes
• Tenpai Dragon Paidra (3 copies) is the only exact-name starter set for the FIRE Dragon line

Recommended changes

Evidence & confidence

• Verified: Legality: 40 Main, 14 Extra, 0 Side within Master Duel size rules; all Limited and Semi-Limited copy counts within limit; Composition: 22 distinct Main, 13 distinct Extra, archetype purity 13%; Usage stats: Maxx C, Sangen Kaimen, Sangen Summoning, and Pot of Sloth are core cards in the archetype
• Observed: Usage stats show 14 of 21 archetype core cards present in this list
• Inferred: Opening-hand probabilities for starters, core cards, and hand traps; Going-first and going-second plans from card text; Interaction density and resilience from text hints; Recovery and recursion routes from card text
• Provisional: Meta power and matchup fit: no dated metagame sample or tournament link; Median output: no recorded boards
• Data gaps: no combos supplied: combo floor, median, and ceiling are text-only inference no tournament link: archetype meta-share and per-pilot match record absent no win-rate telemetry (going-first/second, matchup, brick/starter rates); those signals are Inferred or Unknown Meta Power is Provisional unless a dated metagame sample is supplied no side deck (0 cards) and Master Duel has no post-side games, so D12 has no performance evidence