Simorgh Deck #773135 — Yu-Gi-Oh! OCG

Deck — Deck Power Evaluation

Final Contextual Deck Power: 42/100 (±12 · Confidence: Low)

• Primary strategy: Midrange
• Secondary strategies: Stun
• Format: ocg

Legality

Main 55 / Extra 15 / Side 0 — status under the rules at evaluation time: Illegal. 2 violation(s).

Identity & game plan

• Win condition: Xyz pressure from Raidraptor Xyz monsters (Rising Rebellion Falcon, Ultimate Falcon, Satellite Cannon Falcon, Arc Rebellion Xyz Dragon) once the field is stabilised with Raidraptor and Simorgh-line searches (Inferred from card text); Raidraptor Rank-Up-Magic follow-ups (Rise Rank-Up-Magic Raidraptor's Force, Rank-Up-Magic Skip Force) into a higher-Rank Xyz (Inferred from card text)
• Turn 1 (going first): Search or Normal Summon a Raidraptor line, protect the starter with Ash Blossom, Droll & Lock Bird and Nibiru as hand interaction, then build to a Level 4 Xyz (Inferred)
• Turn 2 (going second): Use hand traps (Ash Blossom, Nibiru, Droll & Lock Bird, Dominus Impulse, Solemn Warning) to disrupt the opponent's summon, then rebuild through Raidraptor recursion and searchers (Inferred)
• Recovery: Banished and GY Raidraptors are recycled through Raidraptor - Roost, Raider's Wing, Heel Eagle and Brave Strix effects; the Raidraptor searcher count is high (Inferred from card text)
• After siding: Not supported: the list runs no Side Deck (Side Deck size 0), so there is no post-side plan in the export

Why it scores here

This is a structural-only read, because the list is Illegal: it runs 3 copies each of Ash Blossom & Joyous Spring and Dominus Impulse against a 2-copy OCG limit, so it does not receive a normal Final Contextual score. Its strength is on the system level: 8 copies of the Raidraptor core give about a 56% chance of at least one core card in the opening 5, and 15 searcher-text cards give about 81% for at least one searcher in the opening 5 (Inferred from hypergeometric estimates). Interaction is the strongest part (13 negation-text cards, 7 hand traps, 2 Solemn cards, 2 Dominus cards), which lifts the endboard and going-second dimensions. The Xyz endboard (Rising Rebellion Falcon, Ultimate Falcon, Satellite Cannon Falcon) is a real closing threat, but no recorded boards exist, so the ceiling and median are text-based only. The score was not raised by Simorgh being a popular archetype, and the card scores were not averaged; with no Side Deck and no tournament link, post-side and meta credit stay at zero or neutral.

Dimension scores

How the score was computed

Strategy profile: Midrange. Structural ≈ 56, Going First ≈ 52, Going Second ≈ 56, Meta = provisional, Tournament Reliability ≈ 45. Modifiers: Banlist / copy-limit exposure (-8); No Side Deck (-4). Final formula: Structural is meta-neutral (D13 dropped, weights renormalised over 95): 5288/95 = 55.7. Unconstrained blend 0.80*56 + 0.20*45 = 53.8 (Meta provisional). Illegal cap applied as modifiers totalling -12, giving 42. Theoretical/structural-only.

Probability & combo summary

• Opening a starter: P(≥1) ≈ 0.56 · key two-card combo ≈ — · full-brick estimate ≈ — (all Inferred)
• Combo output: best PowerIndex —, median —, board-per-starter —
• Turn order: 0 going-first lines vs 0 going-second lines

Strengths

• Interaction density: 13 negation-text cards, 7 hand traps, and two Solemn cards
• Searcher density: 15 searcher-text cards give about 81% to find one in the opening 5 (Inferred)
• Xyz closing threats in the Extra Deck (Rising Rebellion Falcon, Ultimate Falcon)

Weaknesses

• Illegal copy-limit violations on Ash Blossom & Joyous Spring and Dominus Impulse
• No Side Deck, so there is no post-side adaptation
• No recorded boards, so the combo ceiling and median cannot be measured

Critical choke points

• The Raidraptor core: only 8 copies, about 56% to have one in the opening 5 (Inferred)
• The Rank-Up-Magic and Xyz line depends on a Raidraptor Xyz already being on the field

Recommended changes

Evidence & confidence

• Verified: Legality: 55 Main / 15 Extra / 0 Side; copy-limit violations on Ash Blossom & Joyous Spring and Dominus Impulse; Restricted cards: Droll & Lock Bird, Foolish Burial, Harpie's Feather Duster, Solemn Judgment (Limited, 1 legal, 1 run each); Solemn Warning (Semi-Limited, 2 legal, 2 run); Card text and stats for the Raidraptor, Simorgh, Mulcharmy and Dominus cards in the evidence pack; Archetype-core usage: Simorgh-related inclusion stats (7 rows; 4 of 7 core cards present)
• Inferred: Hypergeometric opening-hand estimates (core 0.559, searcher 0.811, hand-trap 0.577); Going-first and going-second plans from card text; Interaction and resilience reads from text role hints
• Provisional: Meta Power is null; D13 is a placeholder and excluded from Structural
• Data gaps: No combos supplied: floor, median and ceiling are text-only No tournament link: no archetype meta-share or pilot record No win-rate telemetry: going-first/second and matchup rates are unknown Meta Power is Provisional without a dated metagame sample No Side Deck in the list, so post-side cannot be scored