Exosister Deck #772473 — Yu-Gi-Oh! OCG

Deck — Deck Power Evaluation

Final Contextual Deck Power: 30/100 (±8 · Confidence: Low)

• Primary strategy: Combo
• Secondary strategies: Stun
• Format: ocg

Legality

Main 56 / Extra 15 / Side 0 — status under the rules at evaluation time: Illegal. 2 violation(s).

Identity & game plan

• Win condition: Exosister Xyz pressure: Exosisters Magnifica (2800 ATK, second attack), Exosister Mikailis (2500 ATK) and Exosister Karmael (2600 ATK) built from the Exosister monsters that Elis, Martha, Pax, Betrayal, Sophia, Stella and Irene put on the field; Divine Arsenal AA-ZEUS - Sky Thunder (3000 ATK) and The Dragon that Devours the Dogma (3000 ATK) as Extra Deck closers once materials are available
• Turn 1 (going first): Open on Exosister starters (Elis, Martha, Pax, Betrayal) to reach a board for an Exosister Xyz, using Ash Blossom and Evenly Matched only as protection; the list does not run a clean T1 line without a Normal Summon and a second starter
• Turn 2 (going second): Use the 11 hand traps (Ash Blossom, Ghost Belle, Infinite Impermanence, Droll & Lock Bird, Evenly Matched, Solemn Judgment) to stop the opponent's board, then rebuild with Exosister Pax and Betrayal
• Recovery: Recover via Exosister Sophia, Stella, Irene and Elis LP-gain and draw effects, plus Pot of Sloth and Exosister Betrayal search, after the Xyz engine is interrupted
• After siding: Not evaluable: the deck carries 0 side-deck cards, so there is no post-side plan in the evidence

Why it scores here

The 56-card Main Deck is built around the Exosister archetype, with 24 archetype-core copies giving a high chance (about 0.95) that at least one Exosister card appears in an opening hand, but no single starter is reliable: each 3-copy starter is in a 5-card hand only about 25% of the time. Interaction is the deck's strongest system, with 11 hand traps and several negate and removal spells giving a strong end-board and going-second plan that scores in D7 and D8. The Extra Deck (12 Xyz, plus Fusion and Synchro) supplies high-ATK closers, but no combo or board data was supplied, so the floor and median are unmeasured and rest on text-only inference. The score is not an average of card power, and the archetype's popularity earned no points. The list is Illegal under OCG copy limits (Ash Blossom and The Fallen & The Virtuous are at 3 copies, limit 2), so the score is capped and the result is structural-only.

Dimension scores

How the score was computed

Strategy profile: Combo. Structural ≈ 61, Going First ≈ 57, Going Second ≈ 60, Meta = provisional, Tournament Reliability ≈ 48. Modifiers: Copy-limit violation (Illegal) (-12); No side deck (0). Final formula: Structural 61.3 (Combo profile; Stun secondary not blended). Uncapped 0.80*61 + 0.20*48 = 58. Illegal list (copy-limit violations) → capped to 30 and labelled theoretical/structural-only per rubric Step 2.

Probability & combo summary

• Opening a starter: P(≥1) ≈ 0.25 · key two-card combo ≈ — · full-brick estimate ≈ — (all Inferred)
• Combo output: best PowerIndex —, median —, board-per-starter —
• Turn order: 0 going-first lines vs 0 going-second lines

Strengths

• Seven Exosister starters and archetype-core density give a high chance of an Exosister card in hand
• 11 hand traps plus several negate and removal spells give layered interaction
• Extra Deck of 12 Xyz gives high-ATK closers (Magnifica 2800, Karmael 2600, Mikailis 2500)

Weaknesses

• Illegal under OCG copy limits: Ash Blossom and The Fallen & The Virtuous at 3 copies
• No side deck (0 cards), so no post-side plan
• Only 45.1% exact-name Exosister purity; 39 off-archetype copies dilute the engine
• No combo or tournament data, so the floor and median are unmeasured

Critical choke points

• A single Exosister starter in hand is needed for the Xyz line; each starter is about 25% in a 5-card hand
• Illegal copy counts must be fixed before the list can be played or scored normally

Recommended changes

Evidence & confidence

• Verified: Main 56, Extra 15, Side 0 are within OCG size rules (40–60 / 0–15); Ash Blossom and The Fallen & The Virtuous are over the OCG limit of 2 copies (3 run); Archetype Exosister exact-name purity 45.1%; Listed ATK/DEF for Magnifica, Karmael, Mikailis, Dragon, Zeus
• Inferred: Hypergeometric starter, archetype-core and hand-trap probabilities; Interaction density from card-text read; Going-first and going-second plans from card text; Consistency and brick estimates
• Provisional: Meta Power and D13 matchup/format fit (no dated meta sample)
• Data gaps: no combos supplied — combo floor/median/ceiling is text-only inference no tournament link — archetype meta-share and per-pilot match record absent no win-rate telemetry exists in YGOVN (going-first/second, matchup, game-level, brick/starter/OTK rates) — those signals are Inferred or Unknown Meta Power is Provisional unless a dated metagame sample is supplied deck title is null, so the deck name is unknown