RaidRaptor Deck #772151 — Yu-Gi-Oh! OCG

Deck — Deck Power Evaluation

Final Contextual Deck Power: 35/100 (±10 · Confidence: Low)

• Primary strategy: Combo
• Secondary strategies: Midrange
• Format: ocg

Legality

Main 44 / Extra 15 / Side 0 — status under the rules at evaluation time: Illegal. 1 violation(s).

Identity & game plan

• Win condition: Xyz chains through Raidraptor Xyz monsters (Ultimate Falcon, Satellite Cannon Falcon, Arsenal Falcon, Brave Strix) that close with large ATK and destruction effects; Recursive Raidraptor board: Rank-Up-Magic and Raider's Wing re-summon Xyz monsters from the Graveyard and Extra Deck
• Turn 1 (going first): Normal or Special Summon Fuzzy Lanius or Bloom Vulture, search a Raidraptor with Nest, Roost or Tribute Lanius, then build an Xyz with a Level 4 Raidraptor and use Rank-Up-Magic for a higher-rank finisher (the Rising Rebellion Falcon line is absent from this list)
• Turn 2 (going second): Hold Ash Blossom, Infinite Impermanence and Droll & Lock Bird as interaction, then use Raider's Wing or Strangle Lanius to rebuild the board from the Graveyard and Extra Deck
• Recovery: Searchers (Lanius, Nest, Roost, Heel Eagle, Swallow's Cowrie) and Graveyard recursion via Raider's Wing and Bloom Vulture re-fill hand and board after a removal or negation exchange
• After siding: Not evaluable: the deck has no Side Deck, so there is no post-side plan

Why it scores here

The deck's Raidraptor core is highly accessible: P(at least one of the 22 archetype-core copies in a 5-card opening hand) is about 0.976 and 19 searcher-text cards add redundant routes, so the engine usually comes online by turn 2 (Inferred). Interaction is dense for an OCG list, with 8 hand traps and 11 negation texts, and going-second hand-trap odds are about 0.72, which lifts the going-second score. Closing power is strong on paper through Ultimate Falcon and Satellite Cannon Falcon, but Rising Rebellion Falcon and Brave Strix chains are either absent or single-copy, so the median output is not established. The score is capped because the list runs Ash Blossom & Joyous Spring 3 times against an OCG limit of 2, and the deck has no Side Deck; popularity and archetype share did not earn points, and card scores were not averaged.

Dimension scores

How the score was computed

Strategy profile: Combo. Structural ≈ 66.4, Going First ≈ 58, Going Second ≈ 68, Meta = provisional, Tournament Reliability ≈ 55. Modifiers: banlist_copy_limit_exposure (-8); illegal_deck_cap (-21). Final formula: Structural 66.4 (Combo profile) -> 0.80*66.4 + 0.20*55 = 64.1; context modifiers -8 gives 56.1; Illegal-deck cap applied -> 35. Meta provisional (null).

Probability & combo summary

• Opening a starter: P(≥1) ≈ 0.98 · key two-card combo ≈ — · full-brick estimate ≈ 0.02 (all Inferred)
• Combo output: best PowerIndex —, median —, board-per-starter —
• Turn order: 0 going-first lines vs 0 going-second lines

Strengths

• Archetype core is dense (41 exact-name copies) and highly likely to open
• Layered interaction: 8 hand traps plus negation and removal text
• Multiple searcher routes for consistency

Weaknesses

• Illegal copy count: Ash Blossom & Joyous Spring at 3 copies against 2 legal
• No Side Deck
• Medium-to-low confidence on combo output because no boards are recorded

Critical choke points

• Ash Blossom & Joyous Spring copy limit: the list is illegal until one copy is removed
• Dependence on Rank-Up-Magic and Xyz Materials for the finisher line

Recommended changes

Evidence & confidence

• Verified: Main 44 / Extra 15 / Side 0 are within OCG size rules; Ash Blossom & Joyous Spring at 3 copies vs 2 legal (Semi-Limited); Exact-name archetype purity 69.5% (41 of 59 archetype-linked copies); Hand-trap, negation and searcher text counts from the evidence pack
• Inferred: Archetype-core opening probability ~0.976 (hypergeometric); Going-second hand-trap availability ~0.72; Dimension scores D1-D3, D5-D8, D14 from card text and draw odds
• Provisional: Meta Power is null and D13 is a neutral placeholder: no dated metagame sample or tournament link exists
• Data gaps: No combos supplied, so combo floor, median and ceiling are text-only inference No tournament link: archetype meta-share and per-pilot record are absent No win-rate telemetry (going-first, matchup, brick or starter rates) Meta Power is Provisional unless a dated metagame sample is supplied Deck is Illegal (Ash Blossom copy limit), so the score is capped and structural only