Tenpai Dragon Deck #772077 — Yu-Gi-Oh! OCG

Deck — Deck Power Evaluation

Final Contextual Deck Power: 25/100 (±10 · Confidence: Low)

• Primary strategy: Midrange
• Secondary strategies: Toolbox
• Format: ocg

Legality

Main 50 / Extra 15 / Side 0 — status under the rules at evaluation time: Illegal. 2 violation(s).

Identity & game plan

• Win condition: Tenpai Dragon and Dragon Ruler monsters Synchro/Xyz into large boards (Sangenpai Transcendent Dragion, Disaster, Dis Pater, Eclipse), with Dragon recursion from the GY; Bystial and Dragon Ruler Level 7 beaters (Blaster, Tempest, Redox) through Ash Blossom and Solemn protection
• Turn 1 (going first): Normal Summon Tenpai Dragon Paidra or Genroku, search a Sangen card, and extend into a Synchro or Xyz while protecting the first starter with Ash Blossom, Droll and Solemn
• Turn 2 (going second): Hold Ash Blossom, Ghost Ogre, Droll & Lock Bird and Solemn Judgment to stop the opponent's first summon or search, then rebuild through Dragon Ruler searchers
• Recovery: Tenpai Dragon Fadra and Sangen Kaimen recover a Level 4 or lower FIRE Dragon from the GY, and Dragon Ruler searchers refill the hand
• After siding: Not evaluable: the list has no Side Deck, so there is no post-side plan

Why it scores here

The score comes from the deck as a system, not from averaging its cards. The 14 Tenpai Dragon core copies give an archetype-core opening probability of about 0.82 (hypergeometric, Inferred), and 18 searchers make a live engine likely by turn two. Interaction is the strongest area: Ash Blossom, Ghost Ogre, Droll & Lock Bird, three Solemn cards and Skill Drain give layered answers for the first summon and the first activation. The deck's ceiling is real but unmeasured, since no recorded boards exist, so the combo dimensions rest on text and are labelled Inferred. The score is capped low because the list is Illegal: Ash Blossom is run three times against a limit of two, and the deck has no Side Deck. Popularity and archetype usage do not add points, and the 25 is a theoretical structural read only.

Dimension scores

How the score was computed

Strategy profile: Midrange. Structural ≈ 55, Going First ≈ 58, Going Second ≈ 64, Meta = provisional, Tournament Reliability ≈ 50. Modifiers: banlist exposure (-4); no Side Deck (-3). Final formula: Illegal cap: uncapped 0.80*Structural(55) + 0.20*TournamentReliability(50) + modifiers(-7) = 47, capped to 25 as theoretical/structural-only per the Illegal rule; Meta provisional (null)

Probability & combo summary

• Opening a starter: P(≥1) ≈ 0.82 · key two-card combo ≈ — · full-brick estimate ≈ — (all Inferred)
• Combo output: best PowerIndex —, median —, board-per-starter —
• Turn order: 0 going-first lines vs 0 going-second lines

Strengths

• Layered hand-trap and negation suite (Ash Blossom, Ghost Ogre, Droll, Solemn x3, Skill Drain)
• Dense searcher and recursion text, so the deck regenerates after an answered starter
• Strong end-board options (Dis Pater, Disaster, Dark Armed) once a board exists

Weaknesses

• Illegal list: Ash Blossom at 3 copies exceeds the OCG limit of 2
• No Side Deck, so no post-side plan
• Low pure Tenpai Dragon purity (10.8%) makes the engine depend on generic Dragon-type cross-links

Critical choke points

• Paidra and Genroku as the turn-one starters; each 3-of or 2-of has only about 0.19–0.28 opening probability
• Single-copy Limited cards (Chundra, Striker, S:P Little Knight) that are not replaceable within the list

Recommended changes

Evidence & confidence

• Verified: Ash Blossom copy count 3 vs legal 2 (OCG Semi-Limited); Main 50, Extra 15, Side 0 against the size rules; Card text and stats for all 45 distinct cards
• Inferred: Opening-hand starter probability 0.82 for the archetype core; Interaction density from hand-trap and negation text; Resilience and recursion from searcher and GY text
• Provisional: Matchup and format fit (no dated meta); Tournament reliability (no tournament link)
• Data gaps: no combos supplied: floor, median and ceiling are text-only inference no tournament link: archetype meta-share and per-pilot match record absent no win-rate telemetry for going-first, going-second, matchups or brick rate no Side Deck, so post-side is not evaluable Meta Power is Provisional without a dated metagame sample