Rose Dragon Deck #771694 — Yu-Gi-Oh! OCG

Deck — Deck Power Evaluation

Final Contextual Deck Power: 30/100 (±8 · Confidence: Low)

• Primary strategy: Midrange
• Secondary strategies: Stun, Synchro
• Format: ocg

Legality

Main 40 / Extra 15 / Side 0 — status under the rules at evaluation time: Illegal. 1 violation(s).

Identity & game plan

• Win condition: Synchro boss monsters from the Extra Deck (Dis Pater, Black-Winged Assault Dragon, Virtual World Kyubi, Black Rose Moonlight Dragon) built off Rose Dragon and Plant tuner starts; Bramble Rose Dragon chip damage and Stardust/Zalen board-breaking; Black Rose Dragon destroy-all as a reset
• Turn 1 (going first): Normal Summon a 3-level Tuner (Red Rose Dragon or Roxrose Dragon), search via Black Rose Garden or Roxrose, then Synchro into a Plant or Dragon boss while holding Ash Blossom or Infinite Impermanence for the first response (Inferred from card text)
• Turn 2 (going second): Hold Ash Blossom, Infinite Impermanence, Forbidden Droplet or Droll & Lock Bird for the opponent's first search or Summon, then rebuild through Mulcharmy draw effects and GY revival (Inferred)
• Recovery: Recover from GY through Red Rose Dragon, Roxrose, Princess Dracaena and Cyclos GY effects, and Mulcharmy draw pressure when the field is empty (Inferred)
• After siding: Not available: the list runs no Side Deck, so the deck cannot adapt between games

Why it scores here

The deck reliably opens a Rose starter: P(at least one of the 12 Rose core cards in an opening 5) is about 0.85, and Black Rose Garden and Roxrose give searches, so the engine is accessible on turn 1 (Inferred from the hypergeometric table). Seven hand traps (Ash Blossom, Infinite Impermanence, Droll and Lock Bird) give it a reasonable answer to the opponent's first action, and the 71 percent going-second hand-trap estimate supports the going-second plan. Conversion is judged from card text only, because no recorded boards exist, so the ceiling (Dis Pater, Black-Winged Assault Dragon, Kyubi) and the median are both Inferred and the median is set lower. The score is capped by the copy-limit violation (three Ash Blossom in an OCG format that allows two), by the absence of a Side Deck, and by a low archetype purity of 14.5 percent that dilutes the engine across Mulcharmy, Bystial, Stardust and Circular routes. Archetype popularity and the core-card presence did not earn points, and no card scores were averaged.

Dimension scores

How the score was computed

Strategy profile: Midrange. Structural ≈ 56, Going First ≈ 55, Going Second ≈ 55, Meta = provisional, Tournament Reliability ≈ 50. Modifiers: Copy-limit violation (-8); No side deck (-4); Low archetype purity (0). Final formula: Illegal legality cap applied. Pre-cap: 0.80*Structural(56) + 0.20*TournamentReliability(50) + modifiers(-12) = 43; capped at 30 and labeled theoretical/structural-only. Meta Power is null (Provisional).

Probability & combo summary

• Opening a starter: P(≥1) ≈ 0.85 · key two-card combo ≈ — · full-brick estimate ≈ — (all Inferred)
• Combo output: best PowerIndex —, median —, board-per-starter —
• Turn order: 0 going-first lines vs 0 going-second lines

Strengths

• Synchro-heavy Extra Deck with several strong bosses (Dis Pater 3500 ATK, Black-Winged 3200 ATK, Kyubi 2800 ATK)
• Seven hand traps and 10 negation-text cards give interaction on both going-first and going-second
• Eleven searcher-text cards and GY revival create card economy
• High probability (about 0.85) of opening at least one core starter

Weaknesses

• Illegal as built: three Ash Blossom & Joyous Spring exceed the OCG limit of 2
• No Side Deck, so no post-side adaptation
• Low archetype purity (14.5 percent) spreads the engine across Rose, Mulcharmy, Bystial, Stardust and Circular routes
• Eleven Tuner monsters and several Plant-specific effects increase the chance of dead or conflicting draws
• Missing 1 copy of Ruddy Rose Dragon, which is in roughly 53 percent of the archetype's lists

Critical choke points

• Single-copy Limited cards (Droll and Lock Bird, Foolish Burial, Bystial Druiswurm, Bystial Magnamhut) add to the choke when drawn
• Dependence on a Tuner plus a non-Tuner Plant or Dragon for each Synchro route
• Illegal copy count must be fixed before any competitive score applies

Recommended changes

Evidence & confidence

• Verified: Legality: Ash Blossom & Joyous Spring is run 3 times against an OCG limit of 2 (Semi-Limited); the deck is Illegal; Main 40 and Extra 15 are within OCG size rules; Side is 0; Archetype purity is 14.5 percent exact-name (8 of 55 copies); Hand-trap count is 7 and searcher-text count is 11 (role hints)
• Inferred: P(at least one core starter in opening 5) about 0.85; Going-second hand-trap access about 0.71; Ceiling and median ratings from card text only (no recorded boards); Structural score 56 under the Midrange profile
• Provisional: Meta Power is null and matchup fit (D13) is Provisional: no dated metagame sample or tournament link
• Data gaps: No parseable combos: floor, median and ceiling are text-only inference No tournament link: archetype meta-share and pilot match records are absent No win-rate telemetry: going-first, going-second and matchup results are unknown No Side Deck list: post-side plan cannot be evaluated Meta Power is Provisional without a dated metagame sample