Rose Dragon Deck #771326 — Yu-Gi-Oh! OCG

Deck — Deck Power Evaluation

Final Contextual Deck Power: 30/100 (±8 · Confidence: Low)

• Primary strategy: Midrange
• Secondary strategies: Tempo, Toolbox
• Format: ocg

Legality

Main 55 / Extra 15 / Side 0 — status under the rules at evaluation time: Illegal. 1 violation(s).

Identity & game plan

• Win condition: Rose Dragon Synchro boss (Black Rose Dragon, Ruddy Rose Dragon, Bramble Rose Dragon) summoned off the Rose engine; Off-archetype Synchro beaters (Bystial Dis Pater, Swordsoul Supreme Sovereign - Chengying, Crimson Dragon) when the Rose line is stifled
• Turn 1 (going first): Normal Summon Roxrose Dragon or Twilight Rose Black Knight, search a Rose Dragon or Black Rose Garden, and reach a Tuner plus non-Tuner Synchro into a Black Rose or Ruddy Rose boss
• Turn 2 (going second): Hold Ash Blossom, Ghost Belle, or Droll and Lock Bird for the opponent's first search or Summon, then rebuild through Red Rose or White Rose recursion into the same Synchro boss
• Recovery: Recover Tuners from the GY through Red Rose Dragon, White Rose Dragon, Garden Rose Maiden, and Glow-Up Bulb, then re-Synchro
• After siding: Not evaluable: the deck has no Side Deck, so no post-side plan exists

Why it scores here

This list is Illegal in OCG because Ash Blossom and Joyous Spring runs 3 copies against a limit of 2, so the score below is a capped theoretical value and not a normal Final Contextual score. The structural read (about 55) comes from the system: the 11-copy Rose core has about a 69% chance of at least one starter in a 5-card opening hand (Inferred), and the Rose engine has two independent recursion routes through Red Rose Dragon and White Rose Dragon. Interaction is the strongest area (about 70): Gravity Collapse, Ash Blossom, Forbidden Droplet, Ghost Belle, Ghost Ogre and Droll and Lock Bird give layered answers, and the hand-trap group hits at least one card in about 68% of going-second six-card hands. Pressure is credible through several 2400 to 3500 ATK Synchro bosses. The score is held down by the absence of any recorded combos (no median or ceiling data), a 17% exact-archetype purity with 58 off-archetype copies, a 0-card Side Deck, and banlist exposure on three Limited cards. Popularity did not earn points: the archetype core presence of 80% confirms the list is real, not that it is strong. No card scores were averaged.

Dimension scores

How the score was computed

Strategy profile: Midrange. Structural ≈ 55, Going First ≈ 60, Going Second ≈ 57, Meta = provisional, Tournament Reliability ≈ 52. Modifiers: banlist exposure (-6); staple_compactness (-2); illegal_legality_cap (-16). Final formula: Illegal deck: 0.80*Structural(55) + 0.20*TournamentReliability(52) = 54.4, plus modifiers -8 = 46.4, then illegal cap -16 = 30 (Meta provisional)

Probability & combo summary

• Opening a starter: P(≥1) ≈ 0.69 · key two-card combo ≈ — · full-brick estimate ≈ — (all Inferred)
• Combo output: best PowerIndex —, median —, board-per-starter —
• Turn order: 0 going-first lines vs 0 going-second lines

Strengths

• Layered interaction: Gravity Collapse, Ash Blossom, Forbidden Droplet, Ghost Belle, Ghost Ogre, and Droll and Lock Bird
• Core engine is accessible at about 69% for at least one starter in hand of 5
• Two recursion routes (Red Rose Dragon, White Rose Dragon) support resilience
• Multiple 2400 to 3500 ATK Synchro bosses give closing power

Weaknesses

• Illegal copy-limit violation on Ash Blossom and Joyous Spring
• No Side Deck (0 cards), so no post-side adaptation
• Low exact-archetype purity (17%) with many off-archetype staples
• No recorded combos, so floor and median are unmeasured

Critical choke points

• Rose core presence: 11 copies, with about a 31% chance of none in a 5-card opening hand
• Single Black Rose Dragon / Ruddy Rose Dragon boss lines depend on Tuner availability
• Going-second answers depend on hand traps that a single Ash Blossom copy removal would weaken

Recommended changes

Evidence & confidence

• Verified: Legality: Ash Blossom and Joyous Spring 3 copies vs 2 legal (Illegal); Main 55, Extra 15, Side 0 within size rules; Banlist: Droll and Lock Bird, Foolish Burial, and Harpie's Feather Duster are Limited; Printed ATK/DEF for Black Rose Dragon, Ruddy Rose Dragon, Bystial Dis Pater, Swordsoul Supreme Sovereign - Chengying; Archetype core presence 80% (4 of 5 core cards)
• Inferred: P(at least one starter) about 0.69 and searcher group 0.76 from hypergeometric draws; Interaction density and hand-trap coverage from card text; Going-second hand-trap hit rate 0.68; Structural and reliability scores from the Midrange profile
• Provisional: Meta Power (no dated metagame sample); Matchup fit (D13); Median and floor (D4) without combo data
• Data gaps: no combos supplied: combo floor, median, and ceiling are text-only inference no tournament link: meta-share and pilot record absent no win-rate telemetry: going-first and going-second splits are Inferred no Side Deck: post-side plan cannot be evaluated deck title is null