Tenpai Dragon Deck #768677 — Yu-Gi-Oh! OCG

Deck — Deck Power Evaluation

Final Contextual Deck Power: 25/100 (±8 · Confidence: Low)

• Primary strategy: Midrange
• Secondary strategies: Stun, Toolbox
• Format: ocg

Legality

Main 40 / Extra 15 / Side 0 — status under the rules at evaluation time: Illegal. 1 violation(s).

Identity & game plan

• Win condition: Tenpai Dragon and Sangen/Dragion synchro and link boards that pressure with 2500-3500 ATK monsters, protected by hand traps; Bystial Dis Pater / Bystial Baldrake banish-and-summon swings after the Tenpai engine
• Turn 1 (going first): Open a Tenpai or Sangen starter, search a Tenpai Dragon or Sangen spell, then go to a Synchro or Link summon through Dragon tuners
• Turn 2 (going second): Use the 14 hand traps and negation (Ash Blossom, Effect Veiler, Ghost Ogre, Maxx C, Droll and Lock Bird) to interrupt the opponent's first board, then rebuild through Dragon synchros
• Recovery: Re-summon Tenpai Dragon monsters from the GY through Fadra, Sangen Summoning and Chundra, and keep Sangen Kaimen for a level 4 or lower FIRE Dragon
• After siding: No side deck is registered (side_count 0), so no post-side plan can be assessed

Why it scores here

The list is illegal as submitted: Baronne de Fleur is Forbidden in OCG and is run once in the Extra Deck, so the normal Final Contextual score is capped and this evaluation is theoretical/structural-only. Scoring the system rather than its cards, the 40-card main deck reliably opens a Tenpai or Sangen starter (archetype core P at least one in a 5-card hand about 0.94, Inferred), and the 14 hand traps and 15 negation-text cards give a strong going-second interaction layer (P at least one hand trap in a 6-card hand about 0.94, Inferred). Conversion is the weak point: no combos were supplied, so ceiling and median output are text-only inference, and the deck depends on several single-copy Limited cards. Side deck is empty, so no post-side adaptation is scored. Popularity was not credited; the archetype-standard core is present but the list runs 10 of 16 core cards and no card scores were averaged.

Dimension scores

How the score was computed

Strategy profile: Midrange. Structural ≈ 54, Going First ≈ 48, Going Second ≈ 58, Meta = provisional, Tournament Reliability ≈ 45. Modifiers: banlist exposure (-12). Final formula: Structural 54 and TournamentReliability 45 give raw 0.80*54 + 0.20*45 = 52 (Meta provisional); modifiers -12 give 40; illegal-deck cap sets the final score to 25 (theoretical/structural-only)

Probability & combo summary

• Opening a starter: P(≥1) ≈ 0.94 · key two-card combo ≈ — · full-brick estimate ≈ 0.06 (all Inferred)
• Combo output: best PowerIndex —, median —, board-per-starter —
• Turn order: 0 going-first lines vs 0 going-second lines

Strengths

• Hand-trap and negation density (14 hand traps, 15 negation-text cards) gives strong going-second interaction
• Archetype core is present with 16 copies, so the Tenpai starter opens about 94 percent of the time in a 5-card hand (Inferred)
• Extra Deck is fully used with flexible Synchro and Link routes

Weaknesses

• Illegal as submitted: Forbidden Baronne de Fleur
• No side deck, so no post-side plan
• No combo or tournament evidence, so the median is unmeasured
• Several core cards from the usage stats are missing (Trident Dragion, Sangenpai Transcendent Dragion, Hieratic Seal)

Critical choke points

• Baronne de Fleur legality: the list cannot be played in OCG until it is removed
• Tenpai Dragon starter access: Paidra and Fadra are the main searchers and the only Sangen search path

Recommended changes

Evidence & confidence

• Verified: Baronne de Fleur is Forbidden in OCG and is run once (legal copies 0), so the list is illegal; Main 40, Extra 15, Side 0 are within the OCG size rules; Copy counts and banlist statuses for all 27 distinct cards match the evidence; Hand-trap and negation text counts from role tags
• Observed: Usage stats show Tenpai core cards at 70 to 97 percent inclusion across the archetype
• Inferred: Hypergeometric starter and hand-trap access (0.94 and 0.9354); Interaction density and resilience read from card text; Going-first and going-second power estimates
• Provisional: Meta Power (no dated metagame sample); Matchup and format fit (D13)
• Data gaps: no combos supplied: combo floor, median and ceiling are text-only inference no tournament link: archetype meta-share and per-pilot record absent no side deck: post-side adaptability cannot be assessed no win-rate telemetry: going-first, going-second and matchup rates are Inferred or Unknown Meta Power is Provisional unless a dated metagame sample is supplied