Raise Moon Deck #765285 — Yu-Gi-Oh! TCG

Deck — Deck Power Evaluation

Final Contextual Deck Power: 35/100 (±8 · Confidence: Low)

• Primary strategy: Midrange
• Secondary strategies: Tempo
• Format: tcg

Legality

Main 40 / Extra 15 / Side 0 — status: Illegal. 2 violation(s).

Identity & game plan

• Win condition: Raise Moon Xyz boss (Shayna, Croucier, Cielo, Ptolemy, AA-ZEUS) converting draw-triggered board advantage into 2500-3000 ATK attackers; Ecclesia and the Dark Dragon / Number F0 pressure through a GY-recursion Raise Moon engine
• Turn 1 (going first): Hand-activated starters only (Starter Squeeze discard, Cielo from hand, Carol Normal Summon) into a Level 7 Xyz; draw-triggered monsters do not fire without a draw step
• Turn 2 (going second): Draw-trigger monsters fire on the draw step, then Stars/City recursion and hand traps (Ash, Droll, Nibiru) protect the Xyz
• Recovery: The Glitter of Raise Moon and Stars of Raise Moon return Raise Moon cards from GY and banishment to the Deck; City shuffles GY/banished Raise Moon back in each End Phase
• After siding: No side deck is registered, so there is no post-side plan; this is a structural gap

Why it scores here

Structural power is about 57 on the Midrange profile, and the Illegal status caps the final score at 35, so this is a theoretical, structural-only read. The deck reliably reaches a Raise Moon Level 7 Xyz through a hand-activated starter set (about 74% going first), and its draw-triggered monsters give it a strong going-second engine. Six hand traps (Ash, Droll, Nibiru), Fallen and Karin-style interaction, and GY/banish recursion through Stars and City give it real interaction and resilience. Its closing power comes from 2500-3000 ATK bosses, which is credited on the board's structure, not on the deck's popularity. The score is not an average of the card scores, and archetype usage stats were used only to confirm the core, not to add power.

Dimension scores

How the score was computed

Strategy profile: Midrange. Structural ≈ 57, Going First ≈ 52, Going Second ≈ 60, Meta = provisional, Tournament Reliability ≈ 48. Modifiers: banlist exposure (copy limit) (-12). Final formula: 0.80*Structural + 0.20*TournamentReliability = 43 before modifiers; modifiers −12 gives 43; Illegal cap sets final to 35 (theoretical/structural-only)

Probability & combo summary

• Opening a starter: P(≥1) ≈ 0.74 · key two-card combo ≈ — · full-brick estimate ≈ — (all Inferred)
• Combo output: best PowerIndex —, median —, board-per-starter —
• Turn order: 0 going-first lines vs 0 going-second lines

Strengths

• Draw-trigger engine gives several redundant starters
• Six hand traps plus Fallen and Karin-style interaction
• Recursion through The Glitter, Stars, and City
• Multiple 2500-3000 ATK Xyz bosses

Weaknesses

• Illegal as built: 3 copies each of Ash Blossom and The Fallen & The Virtuous
• No side deck, so no post-side plan
• Draw-triggered starters are dead going first without a draw step
• Off-engine Extra Deck slots (Ptolemy, Irisfil, F0, Gradielle)

Critical choke points

• Single Xyz Summon from Raise Moon materials on Level 7 monsters
• Going-first hand must contain a hand-activated starter

Recommended changes

Evidence & confidence

• Verified: Illegal: Ash Blossom and The Fallen & The Virtuous run 3 copies against a 2-copy Semi-Limited cap; Size 40/15/0 is within the TCG size rules; Hypergeometric draw numbers recomputed and matching
• Inferred: Starter access 0.74 going first, 0.65 hand-trap access going second; Strategy label Midrange and the ceiling/floor read from card text; Interaction density from card text and role hints
• Provisional: Meta Power (null) and D13 matchup/format fit: no dated metagame sample
• Data gaps: No combos supplied: combo floor, median and ceiling are text-only inference No tournament link: archetype meta-share and per-pilot record absent No win-rate telemetry for going-first, going-second, matchups or brick rate Usage statistics disagree with the card list: Hope Squeeze, Albion, Karin, Cielo NMB, Ecclesia, F0 and Gradielle are present in cards with copies>0, but usage core_cards marks them in_this_deck=false, so core_present_pct 60 is unreliable No guides attached No side deck, so post-side is unevaluable