Raise Moon Deck #762853 — Yu-Gi-Oh! TCG

Deck — Deck Power Evaluation

Final Contextual Deck Power: 55/100 (±6 · Confidence: Medium)

• Primary strategy: Combo
• Secondary strategies: Midrange
• Format: tcg

Legality

Main 48 / Extra 15 / Side 0 — status: Legal.

Identity & game plan

• Win condition: Raise Moon Lv7 beatdown and Xyz pressure (Cielo the Night Sky, Lucky Straight, Hope Squeeze) backed by draw-triggered Level 7 bodies (Blade Shayna 2800, Lamp Croucier 2800); Gem-Knight fusion finishers (Lady Brilliant Diamond 3400, Master Diamond 2900), but no Gem-Knight monster is in the Main Deck, so these are not reliably reachable (Inferred)
• Turn 1 (going first): Hand-activated Raise Moon monsters (Elegance Carol, Wings Rapi, Starter Squeeze, Blade Shayna) and Cielo Veil from hand to reach two Level 7 monsters for an Xyz Summon; no draw-trigger on turn 1
• Turn 2 (going second): Draw a Raise Moon 'when you draw' Level 7 monster, Special Summon it, build Xyz and go to the Extra Deck; hand traps Infinite Impermanence and Ghost Ogre & Snow Rabbit for the opponent's first play
• Recovery: The Glitter of Raise Moon and The Stars of Raise Moon with the City that Never Sleeps shuffle the GY/banish zone back into the Deck; Revived Sky God and Monster Reborn recover Slifer or a GY monster
• After siding: None: the deck runs zero side-deck cards, so there is no post-side plan (Verified)

Why it scores here

The deck reliably opens its engine because 17 Level 7 monsters (14 with a 'when you draw' Special Summon or a hand-activated effect) feed Xyz Summons, and the hypergeometric estimate of at least one such starter in a going-second six-card hand is about 0.89 (Inferred). Its ceiling is strong: the Xyz line leads to 2100-2800 ATK bodies and a multi-layer end board from Impermanence, Ghost Ogre, Revived Sky God and Hope Squeeze, while recursion from the City and the Stars keeps the engine alive after a disruption. Scores come from consistency, interaction and closing power measured on the system, not from Raise Moon's popularity and not from averaging card scores. The deck is held back by six Gem-Knight fusion Extra Deck slots with no Gem-Knight enabler in the Main Deck, five off-archetype or dead-leaning main slots, and a zero-card side deck that gives no post-side adaptability. Median output, matchup fit and the meta are not measurable from the evidence (no combos, no tournament link), so those dimensions are low-confidence and provisional.

Dimension scores

How the score was computed

Strategy profile: Combo. Structural ≈ 64.9, Going First ≈ 62, Going Second ≈ 70, Meta = provisional, Tournament Reliability ≈ 53. Modifiers: Dead Extra-Deck slots (Gem-Knight fusions) (-4); No side deck (-3); Engine compactness (1); Off-archetype dilution (-2). Final formula: 0.80*Structural + 0.20*TournamentReliability + ContextModifiers (Meta provisional) = 0.80*64.9 + 0.20*53 - 8 = 54.5, rounded to 55

Probability & combo summary

• Opening a starter: P(≥1) ≈ 0.84 · key two-card combo ≈ — · full-brick estimate ≈ — (all Inferred)
• Combo output: best PowerIndex —, median —, board-per-starter —
• Turn order: 0 going-first lines vs 0 going-second lines

Strengths

• Dense Level 7 engine: 17 Level 7 Main Deck monsters with draw triggers and hand effects
• Strong Xyz and beatdown ceiling (Cielo, Lucky Straight, Shayna, Croucier, Brilliant Diamond)
• Multi-layer interaction: 5 hand traps, Hope Squeeze, Twin Twisters, Monster Reborn, and GY recursion

Weaknesses

• Six Gem-Knight fusion Extra Deck slots with no Gem-Knight Main Deck enablers
• Zero side deck, so no post-side plan
• Several off-archetype and low-impact Main Deck slots (Dealings, Card Destruction, Chicken Game, One Day of Peace, Dark Doriado)
• No going-first draw trigger, so the going-first hand relies on hand-activated effects

Critical choke points

• Two Level 7 monsters in hand or field are required for the Xyz line; a hand without them stalls the plan
• Going-first hands without a hand-activated Level 7 monster lack a T1 engine

Recommended changes

Evidence & confidence

• Verified: Legal: 48 Main, 15 Extra, 0 Side within size rules; Five Limited cards, each run at 1 copy (legal); Copy histogram: 5 one-ofs, 2 two-ofs, 13 three-ofs; Extra Deck: 9 Xyz, 6 Fusion; Exact-name purity 50.8%; zero Gem-Knight Main Deck monsters; Zero side deck
• Inferred: Draw-trigger starter access probabilities (about 0.84 in 5, about 0.89 in 6); Six Gem-Knight fusions are unreachable without a Main Deck Gem-Knight enabler; Interaction density and end-board quality from card text; Going-first versus going-second split from the draw-trigger structure
• Provisional: Meta Power (no dated meta sample); Matchup and format fit (D13); Median output (D4), since no recorded boards exist; Tournament reliability
• Data gaps: No combos supplied: floor, median and ceiling are text-only inference (combos_evidence.total_combos = 0) No tournament link; archetype meta-share and per-pilot record absent No win-rate telemetry; going-first/second, matchup and brick rates are Inferred or Unknown usage_statistics join appears broken: Raise Moon Hope Squeeze - Jackpot (9484285) and Cielo the Night Sky (73090586) are listed in_this_deck=false although the cards array shows 3 copies each in the Extra Deck, so core_present_pct (36%) and missing_core are unreliable No Gem-Knight monster in the Main Deck (archetype_spread Gem- = 6, all Extra), so fusion reachability is an Inferred ruling that needs confirmation Meta Power is Provisional unless a dated metagame sample is supplied Side deck empty, so no post-side performance or adaptation data