Horus the Black Flame Dragon Deck #759751 — Yu-Gi-Oh! Master Duel

Deck — Deck Power Evaluation

Final Contextual Deck Power: 57/100 (±7 · Confidence: Medium)

• Primary strategy: Midrange
• Secondary strategies: Toolbox, Combo
• Format: master-duel

Legality

Main 43 / Extra 14 / Side 0 — status: Legal.

Identity & game plan

• Win condition: Horus monsters and Egyptian God / Galaxy-Eyes Extra Deck threats converting a field presence into 3000+ ATK pressure (Inferred from card text; no recorded boards); Mulcharmy card advantage grinding the opponent out over several turns (Inferred)
• Turn 1 (going first): Search a Horus or Sarcophagus-enabling card, set up King's Sarcophagus or Walls of the Imperial Tomb, then use Mulcharmy and Imsety draw/recursion to build a board (Inferred from text; line not verified by combo data)
• Turn 2 (going second): Use Ash Blossom, Maxx C and the negation/removal spells (Raigeki, Lightning Storm, Feather Duster) to answer the opponent's board, then recur Horus monsters from the GY through the Sarcophagus (Inferred)
• Recovery: Mulcharmy Fuwalos and Purulia draw when the hand is emptied, and the Sarcophagus or Walls re-enable Horus recursion from the GY (Inferred)
• After siding: Not applicable: Master Duel ranked play has no sideboard and the deck runs 0 side cards; no post-side plan is available

Why it scores here

The deck reliably opens a searcher-driven starter: 13 searcher-text cards give P(at least one in a 5-card opener) of about 0.85, and the 10-copy Horus/archetype core has about 0.75 odds of appearing in the opener (Inferred from hypergeometric estimates). King's Sarcophagus and Walls of the Imperial Tomb together provide six Sarcophagus-enabling copies, which by my own hypergeometric arithmetic gives roughly 0.55 odds of at least one in a 5-card opener, so the Horus recursion is redundant but not guaranteed. Interaction is the strongest area: Raigeki, Lightning Storm, Harpie's Feather Duster, Forbidden Droplet, Ash Blossom, Maxx C and several negation effects give broad end-board control. Conversion and closing power are credible but unmeasured, since no recorded boards, tournament link or win-rate data exist, so the ceiling is text-based. Score is built from consistency, interaction and resource grind on the system; archetype usage (7 of 8 core cards present) confirms the list is real and standard but earns no points by itself, and the card scores were not averaged.

Dimension scores

How the score was computed

Strategy profile: Midrange primary, Toolbox secondary (approx. 80/20 by judgement); profile weights used as given. Structural ≈ 59.9, Going First ≈ 61, Going Second ≈ 56, Meta = provisional, Tournament Reliability ≈ 58. Modifiers: Unrecoverable choke point (Sarcophagus gating Horus recursion) (-2); Engine conflict and dilution (-2); Redundant Sarcophagus access (1). Final formula: 0.80*Structural + 0.20*TournamentReliability (Meta provisional) + ContextModifiers = 0.80*59.9 + 0.20*58 - 3 = 56.5, rounded to 57

Probability & combo summary

• Opening a starter: P(≥1) ≈ 0.85 · key two-card combo ≈ — · full-brick estimate ≈ — (all Inferred)
• Combo output: best PowerIndex —, median —, board-per-starter —
• Turn order: 0 going-first lines vs 0 going-second lines

Strengths

• Redundant searcher density (13 searcher-text cards) gives a high chance of a live opener
• Broad interaction package: negation, hand traps, board wipe and spell destruction
• Multiple card-advantage engines (Mulcharmy x5, Imsety, Duamutef, Tokusano)
• Large boss pool with several 3000+ ATK threats

Weaknesses

• No recorded combo boards or win-rate data; conversion and median output are unverified
• Off-archetype dilution (57 copies) and conditional spells reduce consistency
• Numeron Dragon is likely a dead Extra Deck slot without a second same-name Number Xyz
• No sideboard in Master Duel ranked, so post-side adaptability cannot be assessed

Critical choke points

• King's Sarcophagus or Walls of the Imperial Tomb for Horus recursion (about 0.55 odds in an opener, Inferred)
• Mulcharmy draw count depends on hand emptiness, which conflicts with holding interaction

Recommended changes

Evidence & confidence

• Verified: Legality: 43 main, 14 extra, 0 side, all within Master Duel size rules; restricted copies within limits; Card text and stats for all listed cards; Searcher-text count 13 and hand trap count 2 from role tags; Archetype core usage 6 of 7 core cards present
• Inferred: Starter and Sarcophagus access odds (hypergeometric, including my 0.55 estimate for six Sarcophagus-enabling copies); Going-first and going-second plans and recovery line from card text; Interaction breadth and resilience from text and role tags; Brick risk and pilotability from composition
• Provisional: D13 matchup and format fit (no tournament link or dated meta); D12 post-side plan (Master Duel ranked has no sideboard); Meta Power (null)
• Data gaps: no combos supplied: combo floor, median and ceiling are text-only inference no tournament link: archetype meta-share and per-pilot match record absent no win-rate telemetry: going-first/second, matchup, brick and OTK rates are Inferred or Unknown Meta Power is Provisional: no dated metagame sample supplied Master Duel ranked has no sideboard, so D12 cannot be measured on post-side data