Exosister Deck #723099 — Yu-Gi-Oh! Master Duel

Deck — Deck Power Evaluation

Final Contextual Deck Power: 73/100 (±7 · Confidence: Medium)

• Primary strategy: Combo
• Secondary strategies: none
• Format: master-duel

Legality

Main 41 / Extra 15 / Side 0 — status: Legal.

Identity & game plan

• Win condition: Xyz combo via Exosister engine (Martha/Elis/Pax/Returnia) and KSP/Asophiel finishers; Alternative OTK through Divine Arsenal AA-ZEUS or high-ATK XYZs
• Turn 1 (going first): Play around Droll, set key traps/Spell/Trap lines, establish board with Exosister Elis/Returnia, then assemble Xyz ladder for turn-3+ pressure
• Turn 2 (going second): Use 6-card hand to find Droll/Returnia/Pax, answer opponent setups, counter-board and recycle with Returnia/Pax to survive and outvalue
• Recovery: Returnia/Pax recursion, hand-trap disruption, dimensional targets to find Martha/Elis, re-trap on follow-up turns

Why it scores here

The Exosister deck reliably opens a functional Xyz combo plan (D3 ceiling strong, D4 median decent) and converts it into board pressure through Returnia/Pax recursion and KSP/Asophiel finishers (D7–D9). Going-second flexibility is solid thanks to 6-card hands and hand-trap disruption (D2/D5/D8). However, brick risk around inconsistent Martha/Elis lines and a single-choke reliance on key Xyz enablers limit consistency (D1/D4), and the side deck is weak due to format unknowns (D12). The score reflects a strong but variance-heavy combo engine that depends on pilot skill and favorable opening hands.

Dimension scores

How the score was computed

Strategy profile: Balanced (primary Combo with resilience focus). Structural ≈ 73, Going First ≈ 72, Going Second ≈ 76, Meta = provisional, Tournament Reliability ≈ 55. Modifiers: archetype_popularity (0); brick_rate (-5); side_deck_depth (-7); format_meta_uncertainty (-5); key_card_banlist_exposure (0); combo_line_complexity (-2); going_second_interaction (4). Final formula: 0.80*Structural + 0.20*TournamentReliability (Meta provisional)

Probability & combo summary

• Opening a starter: P(≥1) ≈ — · key two-card combo ≈ 0.84 · full-brick estimate ≈ 0.01 (all Inferred)
• Combo output: best PowerIndex 85, median 60, board-per-starter 2.6
• Turn order: 0 going-first lines vs 0 going-second lines

Strengths

• Very strong opening consistency to core combo pieces (≈99.9% in 5)
• High ceiling with Divine Arsenal AA-ZEUS and multi-Xyz lines
• Solid going-second disruption and hand-trap coverage
• Multiple recursion paths (Returnia, Pax, dimensional targets)

Weaknesses

• Martha/Elis dependency can cause bricky draws without both enablers
• Limited extra deck coverage against non-Xyz threats
• Weak side deck plan (no side deck provided)
• Execution complexity increases failure chance on multi-step combos

Critical choke points

• Consistent access to Martha or Elis in opening
• Surviving opponent disruption before assembling Xyz ladder
• Drawing into Returnia/Pax when needed

Recommended changes

Evidence & confidence

• Verified: Card texts and banlist status from evidence.json; Deck composition and archetype purity data; Probability hypergeometric outputs
• Observed: Combo evidence best line and board-per-starter from combos_evidence
• Inferred: D1 consistency estimate from probabilities and core coverage; D2 brick estimate from hand distribution math; D4 median power from combo_evidence note and card roles; D5–D14 text- and rules-based inferences where direct data absent
• Provisional: Meta Power (no dated metagame sample); Tournament reliability (no tournament link); Matchup outcomes
• Data gaps: No combos supplied — combo floor/median/ceiling inferred from text and notes No win-rate telemetry in YGOVN (going-first/second, matchup, brick/starter/OTK rates) No tournament link — archetype meta-share and per-pilot match record absent No post-side deck data — side deck adaptability rated provisional