Rose Dragon Deck #722797 — Yu-Gi-Oh! OCG

Deck — Deck Power Evaluation

Final Contextual Deck Power: 62/100 (±7 · Confidence: Medium)

• Primary strategy: Combo
• Secondary strategies: Midrange, Control
• Format: ocg

Legality

Main 58 / Extra 15 / Side 0 — status: Legal.

Identity & game plan

• Win condition: Synchro summon into board of negations and destruction effects (Black Rose Dragon, Bramble Rose Dragon, Crystal Wing Synchro Dragon); Grind through recursion and resource regeneration via Plant engine recursion
• Turn 1 (going first): Establish Black Rose Dragon or Bramble Rose Dragon with supporting Synchro monsters; use Tuner density and searchers to assemble board with negation/destruction
• Turn 2 (going second): Use hand traps (Ash Blossom, Ghost Belle, Artifact Lancea, Ghost Mourner) to disrupt opponent setup; follow with Synchro summons into board breakers
• Recovery: Tuner recursion via Red Rose Dragon, GY recovery via Spore and Cyclos; field spell searchers (Roxrose Dragon, Black Rose Garden) feed consistency
• After siding: No side deck present; adaptability limited by no siding capability

Why it scores here

This Rose Dragon deck assembles Synchro boards with consistent Tuner access and strong recursion engines, reaching functional T1 setups in ~68% of openings via Black Rose Dragon and supporting negation monsters. The combo ceiling is solid (level 7–8 Synchro bosses with removal + negation), but the median output drops to 58 due to dependency on specific starters and limited independent lines—disruption of Red Rose Dragon or early searchers significantly weakens turn continuity. Hand-trap density (9 copies) and mid-tier going-second tools enable functional T2 play, though the deck lacks premium interruptors (Nibiru, Mulcharmy Fuwalos, Droll & Lock Bird are core-adjacent but missing). The critical weakness is the absence of a side deck, which in best-of-3 formats prevents post-match adaptation and severely limits tournament reliability. The deck's system is coherent—plant Synchro recursion and tuner chaining create real redundancy—but the 58-card main size, marginal combo floor, and no-side constraint cap structural power at ~67, lowering final reliability to 62.

Dimension scores

How the score was computed

Strategy profile: Combo. Structural ≈ 63, Going First ≈ 67, Going Second ≈ 62, Meta = provisional, Tournament Reliability ≈ 54. Modifiers: No side deck penalty (-6); Core card deviation (-3). Final formula: 0.80*Structural + 0.20*TournamentReliability + ContextModifiers (Meta provisional, no metagame sample supplied)

Probability & combo summary

• Opening a starter: P(≥1) ≈ 0.72 · key two-card combo ≈ — · full-brick estimate ≈ 0.15 (all Inferred)
• Combo output: best PowerIndex —, median —, board-per-starter —
• Turn order: 0 going-first lines vs 0 going-second lines

Strengths

• Tuner recursion and redundancy: Multiple Tuner starters (Red Rose Dragon, Roxrose Dragon, Twilight Rose Black Knight, Cyclos) with GY recovery (Spore, Cyclos, field spell loops) enable resilience to single disruption.
• Hand-trap density: 9 copies of Tuner hand-traps (Ash Blossom, Ghost Belle, Ghost Mourner, Artifact Lancea) provide going-second interaction and T2 consistency.
• Synchro boss lineup: Black Rose Dragon (field wipe) + Bramble Rose Dragon (recurring damage + negation) + Crystal Wing (monster negation) create layered end-boards.
• Extra Deck efficiency: All 15 slots filled with on-archetype Synchros or generics; no wasted slots.
• Searcher density: 14 cards with searcher text (Black Rose Garden, Basal Rose Shoot, Roxrose Dragon, Red Rose Dragon, etc.) enable fast live engine.

Weaknesses

• No side deck: Absence of post-game adaptation severely limits best-of-3 tournament reliability.
• Combo floor volatility: Median output depends on first-turn starter draw; loss of Roxrose Dragon or Red Rose Dragon to disruption halves independent lines.
• Missing meta staples: Absent Nibiru, Mulcharmy Fuwalos, Droll & Lock Bird, Crossout Designator, and key Extra Deck bosses (Ruddy Rose, Black Rose Moonlight) relative to meta core.
• 58-card bloat: Main deck size at upper limit reduces consistency vs. tighter 40–50 card lists; dilution of searcher/Tuner ratios.
• Limited offensive ceiling: No piercing, direct damage, or OTK lines; board finishers (Bramble Rose 2400 ATK, recurring 600 damage) are incremental rather than explosive.
• Dependence on GY: Recursion engines (Spore, Cyclos, field spell destruction loops) vulnerable to banish effects and GY lockdown.

Critical choke points

• Red Rose Dragon as primary T1 searcher: If sent to GY via disruption before Synchro summon trigger, deck loses main acceleration line.
• Black Rose Dragon as payoff: Destruction of Black Rose Dragon during summon or on field severely limits board recursion loops; Synchro Zone is the only recovery.
• Tuner hand-trap conflict: All hand-traps are Tuners; using them as hand-traps reduces Tuner density for Synchro summoning, forcing choice between interaction and combo output.
• No main-deck removal for established boards: Limited board-breaker suite on T2 (relies on hand-traps + Black Rose Moonlight one-bounce); struggle vs. entrenched opponent boards.
• Field spell reliance: Black Rose Garden and White Rose Cloister are critical for loops; destruction of field spell without backup can cascade into failed combos.

Recommended changes

Evidence & confidence

• Verified: Legality: OCG format, 58 main / 15 extra / 0 side, no violations (Legal); Card text: All 37 distinct cards resolved with full excerpts and role hints confirmed; Archetype detection: 21 exact-name Rose Dragon cards + 17 Rose subcores identified; Extra Deck composition: 15 Synchro monsters, breakdown confirmed (3 Black Rose Dragon, 2 Bramble Rose, 2 Rage Rose Witch, etc.); Banlist status: All cards Unlimited; no restricted cards in deck; Hand-trap density: 9 Tuner hand-traps (Ash Blossom 3, Ghost Belle 3, Ghost Mourner 3, Artifact Lancea 3) verified; Searcher count: 14 cards with searcher-text flags (Black Rose Garden, Basal Rose Shoot, Roxrose Dragon, Red Rose Dragon, Frozen Rose, Cyclos, Twilight Rose Black Knight, etc.)
• Observed: Usage statistics: 1 of 9 core cards present in deck (Ash Blossom); 8 core cards missing (Mulcharmy, Nibiru, Crossout, Ruddy Rose, Black Rose Moonlight, Droll, Sangenpai); Core card inclusion: 11.1% vs. 50% threshold; deck deviates substantially from consolidated meta core
• Inferred: Opening-hand consistency: P(≥1 main Tuner starter in opening 5) ≈ 0.72, estimated from hypergeometric probabilities of Red Rose Dragon, White Rose Dragon, Roxrose Dragon (3 copies each); Brick estimate: ~15% full brick rate (no Tuner + no searcher in opening 5), inferred from 9 hand-trap density and 14-copy searcher group; Combo ceiling: Black Rose Dragon field wipe + Bramble Rose Dragon damage loop + Crystal Wing negation = estimated PowerIndex 70–75, from card text alone (no combo boards supplied); Combo floor: Single-starter line to T1 board = estimated PowerIndex 55–60, assuming interruption of secondary starters; Interruption resilience: Multiple independent Tuner lines (Red Rose, Roxrose, Twilight Rose, Cyclos GY recovery) enable ~2–3 backup lines after first disruption; Going-second power: Hand-trap package (Ash, Ghost Belle, Ghost Mourner, Artifact Lancea) + Black Rose Moonlight Dragon bounce provides functional T2 interaction; no premium going-second combo supplied; Tournament reliability: Penalized 6 points for no side deck; penalized 3 points for meta-core deviation; estimated tournament reliability 54 (vs. structural 63); Pilotability: Roxrose Dragon and Red Rose Dragon searchers enable straightforward sequencing; 5–7 main-phase decisions per turn estimated; moderate complexity
• Provisional: Meta Power: null (no dated metagame sample supplied). Archetype meta-share unknown; cannot compute matchup fit or format-speed alignment without tournament-level data.; Win rates: No win-rate telemetry in YGOVN. Going-first vs. going-second win rates, matchup performance, and brick-to-OTK distributions are Unknown.; Side-deck effectiveness: Without side deck present, post-game adaptation capability is not scoreable; any post-side plan is theoretical.
• Data gaps: No combo boards supplied: Combo floor/median/ceiling inferred from card text and starter density, not from observed plays. Reduces D3 and D4 confidence. No tournament link: Archetype meta-share, per-pilot match record, and format meta data unavailable. Meta Power remains Provisional. No win-rate telemetry: YGOVN does not surface going-first vs. going-second win rates, brick rates, or matchup performance. Going-first/second power estimates rely on qualitative hand-trap and board-composition analysis. No side deck: Adaptability post-game cannot be measured. D12 side-deck score is floor (0). No guides: No human strategic intent signals available; deck analysis is mechanical. Meta-core deviation unexplained: 8 of 9 core cards missing (11% inclusion vs. 50% threshold) without context. Reason (niche format, casual play, incomplete roster, deliberate deviation) is unknown.