Wind-Up Deck #433385 — Yu-Gi-Oh! Master Duel

Deck — Deck Power Evaluation

Final Contextual Deck Power: 48/100 (±10 · Confidence: Low)

• Primary strategy: Midrange
• Secondary strategies: Toolbox
• Format: master-duel

Legality

Main 40 / Extra 15 / Side 0 — status: Legal.

Identity & game plan

• Win condition: Wind-Up Xyz/Link and Fantastical Dragon Phantazmay, Dark Rebellion, Tornado Dragon and F0/101/106 Xyz threats converting Wind-Up board advantage into a 2000 to 3000 ATK end-board; Topologic Zeroboros and Accesscode Talker link pressure, Dinowrestler Pankratops direct removal plus attack
• Turn 1 (going first): Open a Level 3 starter (Psychic Tracker, Psychic Wheeleder, Wind-Up Rat, Gallis) on T1, chain Wind-Up Magician or Rat recursion, then Xyz or Link Summon into Carrier Zenmaity or Zenmaintenance for a Wind-Up follow-up
• Turn 2 (going second): Hold D.D. Crow or Effect Veiler (6 hand traps in the list) to interrupt the opponent's first summon or effect, then rebuild a Wind-Up board through Shark and Rat
• Recovery: Wind-Up Rabbit banish protection, Zenmaity recursion on destroyed Wind-Up monsters, Zenmaintenance search and Terrortop search rebuild the engine from the GY
• After siding: Not supported: the list runs no Side Deck cards, so the post-side plan is absent in a best-of-3

Why it scores here

The list reliably opens a functional Wind-Up starter on turn 1 through three-copy Level 3 monsters (Psychic Tracker, Psychic Wheeleder, Wind-Up Rat), with P(at least one three-copy starter in a 5-card hand) about 0.34 per card and many such cards, so the engine is accessible but conditional. Conversion depends on Xyz and Link summons into the Wind-Up Carrier and Zenmaintenance engine, plus a broad Extra Deck (Tornado Dragon, Dark Rebellion, F0 and 101 ARK) that gives the deck flexible end-boards. Interaction is the deck's strongest area: six hand traps (D.D. Crow x3, Effect Veiler x3), five negation texts and sixteen removal texts give it layering against an established board, which is why going-second play scores fairly well. The score does not come from Wind-Up being a popular archetype and was not computed by averaging card scores: the archetype-purity read (25.5 percent exact name, 41 off-archetype copies across nine other families) lowers engine coherence, and the absence of a side deck or any recorded boards keeps the ceiling and median provisional. Confidence is Low because there are no recorded combos, no usable archetype usage statistics (the core list names other archetypes) and no tournament or meta sample.

Dimension scores

How the score was computed

Strategy profile: Midrange primary with Toolbox secondary; the Midrange profile weights are used directly, since the Toolbox profile would move the total by less than 1 point. Structural ≈ 54, Going First ≈ 55, Going Second ≈ 56, Meta = provisional, Tournament Reliability ≈ 48. Modifiers: engine conflicts / off-archetype dilution (-3); weak post-side plan (-2). Final formula: 0.80*Structural + 0.20*TournamentReliability + ContextModifiers (Meta provisional, no dated metagame sample): 0.80*53.85 + 0.20*48 - 5 = 47.9, rounded to 48

Probability & combo summary

• Opening a starter: P(≥1) ≈ 0.34 · key two-card combo ≈ — · full-brick estimate ≈ — (all Inferred)
• Combo output: best PowerIndex —, median —, board-per-starter —
• Turn order: 0 going-first lines vs 0 going-second lines

Strengths

• Strong interaction density from six hand traps, negation and removal text
• Broad Extra Deck coverage with Xyz and Link options for multiple end-board routes
• Legal in Master Duel with no banned or limited cards

Weaknesses

• Low Wind-Up exact-name purity (25.5 percent) means the engine is diluted across sub-archetypes
• Several conditional summons (empty-board or Level 3 requirements) raise brick risk
• No side deck, so there is no post-side adaptation

Critical choke points

• Three-copy Level 3 starter access on turn 1 (Inferred from hypergeometric odds)
• Wind-Up Carrier Zenmaity as the main recursion and Xyz follow-up route

Recommended changes

Evidence & confidence

• Verified: Legal main/extra counts (40/15) with zero side cards under the master-duel size rules; All cards Unlimited; no banlist exposure; Archetype purity 25.5 percent and archetype spread from the export; Card stats and text excerpts for all 40 main and 15 extra cards
• Inferred: Hypergeometric opening-hand odds (0.34 per three-copy starter; 0.65 for at least one hand trap going second); Interaction density and recovery reads from card text; Going-first and going-second power estimates; Consistency and brick-risk estimates from summon conditions
• Provisional: Median and ceiling output (no recorded boards); Matchup and format fit (no tournament or meta sample); Tournament reliability
• Data gaps: No recorded combos: combo floor, median and ceiling are text-only inference (combo data.total combos = 0) usage statistics core list names other archetypes (Marauding Captain, Fusion Gate, Predapruning, Predaplant and Branded cards) and none is in this deck, so the statistics do not describe Wind-Up and are not used as evidence No tournament link: archetype meta-share and per-pilot record absent No win-rate telemetry: going-first and going-second splits, matchup and brick rates are unknown Meta Power is Provisional: no dated metagame sample No side deck: post-side and best-of-3 plan cannot be evaluated